Region 5-1A

Four teams can still win the region, and Nanih Waiya leads at 2–0.

2026 season · Through Week 8 · Oct 16 · Projected

Region 5-1A standings and projected odds of finishing in each playoff position.
PositionTeamRegionOverallChance of finishing 1st (the #1 seed)Chance of finishing 2nd (the #2 seed)Chance of finishing 3rd (the #3 seed)Chance of finishing 4th (the #4 seed)Chance of making the playoffs as any seed
1Nanih WaiyaClinched2–06–187%11%2%<1%100%
2Noxapater2–13–51%77%20%1%>99%
3Ethel1–14–312%8%41%38%99%
4Sebastopol1–22–60%<1%37%61%98%
5McAdams0–23–4<1%3%<1%<1%3%

Remaining games

  • Fri, Oct 23: Nanih Waiya at Ethel
  • Fri, Oct 23: Noxapater at McAdams
  • Thu, Oct 29: Ethel at Sebastopol
  • Thu, Oct 29: McAdams at Nanih Waiya

What has to happen

  • Ethel clinches the region if Ethel beats Nanih Waiya and Ethel beats Sebastopol and McAdams beats Noxapater
  • Noxapater clinches the region if Ethel beats Nanih Waiya and McAdams beats Nanih Waiya and Noxapater beats McAdams
  • Noxapater clinches the No. 2 seed if Sebastopol beats Ethel and Nanih Waiya beats McAdams or if Nanih Waiya beats Ethel and Ethel beats Sebastopol and Noxapater beats McAdams
  • Ethel clinches the No. 2 seed if Ethel beats Nanih Waiya by 1–8 and Ethel beats Sebastopol and Noxapater beats McAdams
  • McAdams clinches the No. 2 seed if Nanih Waiya beats Ethel and McAdams beats Nanih Waiya and McAdams beats Noxapater
  • Sebastopol clinches the No. 3 seed if Sebastopol beats Ethel and Noxapater beats McAdams or if Sebastopol beats Ethel and Nanih Waiya beats McAdams and McAdams beats Noxapater
  • Ethel clinches the No. 4 seed if Sebastopol beats Ethel and Noxapater beats McAdams
  • Sebastopol clinches the No. 4 seed if Ethel beats Sebastopol and Noxapater beats McAdams
  • McAdams is eliminated if Nanih Waiya beats McAdams or if Noxapater beats McAdams
  • Sebastopol is eliminated if Ethel beats Sebastopol and McAdams beats Nanih Waiya and McAdams beats Noxapater